By: Thomas Steffanci, PhD, Senior Portfolio Manager The first link in the supply chain, the number of ships backed up in Los Angeles and Long Beach harbors, is in sharp decline as the accompanying chart from BCA shows. Source: BCA Research The harder part is relieving the structural scarcity of trucks, drivers, and logistics (i.e., port workers, warehouse capacity) to decompress...
BFSG Blog
Financial Resources & News
What Happens to Stocks When the Fed Hikes
By: Robert Verdugo, CMFC®, APMA®, Financial Analyst As the Federal Reserve (the Fed) is poised to start raising rates today, and with the S&P 500 (1) down over 10% off its highs, is it time to declare the bull market dead? History would say no – in fact, a resounding no. Jess Menton’s article in Bloomberg, titled “What Happens to Stocks When the Fed Hikes: A Historical Guide”, does a...
Ignore the Noise – Focus on What You Can Control
By: Thomas Steffanci, PhD, Senior Portfolio Manager Let’s cut through the ongoing cross currents of Wall Street and other pundits’ chatter about supply chains, the pandemic, the Federal Reserve (the “Fed”), and market volatility to concentrate on the proven drivers of stock market investing. History attests to the maxim that if you don’t expect a recession nearby, stay invested in stocks. That...
Providing Better Returns by Managing Taxes
Focus on What You Can Control By: Paul Horn, CFP®, CPWA®, Senior Financial Planner The goal of every investor is to get the best returns possible per unit of risk based on your risk tolerance (the “optimal portfolio”). No matter how much research you do or the investment philosophy you use, at the end of the day there are many variables that you cannot predict or control for when you are making...
How to Profit from Inflation
Do you have excess cash reserves that you won’t need for 12-months? If yes, then consider Series I savings bonds. These bonds pay a fixed rate for the life of the bond (today it is 0%), plus the annualized Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate. With the interest compounded semiannually, these I Bonds will pay a total annualized interest rate of 7.12% through April 2022, well in excess of any...
The Least Understood Risk to Retirement
You have done a great job preparing for retirement, but do you understand the risks? Timing is everything, and early market declines at retirement, particularly if they are paired with rising inflation, can significantly reduce the longevity of your retirement nest egg. Learn from Paul Horn, CFP® in this 2-minute BFSG short as he discusses the least understood risk to retirement – sequence risk...
Congratulations Steven on Another Great Academic Achievement
Dr. Steven Yamshon continues his journey in learning about technology, innovation, and strategy at MIT to help manage our clients’ portfolios. Congrats on another great academic achievement!
The Intelligent Investor
We have spoken about the speculation in the markets (watch the Coffee with Dr. Steve – The Time Tunnel we posted in August) and others have pointed out how inexperience can lead to staggering losses (read the New York Times article published in July on this topic). However, speculators continue to pile into the stock market with retail brokerage firms Robinhood, TD Ameritrade (now owned by...
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