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The Inflation Dog Didn’t Hunt in April

CPI Treemap: Area Represents Weight in Index, Color Represents % Change Year-Over-Year (Source: Payden&Rygel) By:  Thomas Steffanci, PhD, Benefit Financial Services Group The past two weeks saw some eye-popping inflation readings. The consumer price index (CPI) for April came in at 4.2% year-over-year (YoY), but a surprisingly large 0.8% month-over-month (MoM) gain. The producer price index...

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The Fed’s Switcheroo

The U-6 Unemployment Rate Bottoms Have Been "Stuck" Around 7 - 7 1/2% Around Cyclical Turning Points It is readily apparent that the Federal Reserve (the “Fed”) is more focused on employment rather than inflation. Last year the Fed released a new policy framework (1) that included a shift away from its traditional practice of raising interest rates based on the headline unemployment rate (U-3)....

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